Wednesday, October 7, 2026
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The County Insured Itself Against Rainmaking. Clause 7 Excludes Rainmaking.

Haverly County has paid $125,400 over eleven years for cover against weather-modification claims. The policy's pollution exclusion names silver iodide, the substance its own generators burn. No claim was ever made, so nobody found out.

Four words in pencil, in the margin of page nine, traced from the placing file the county released to us. Engraved for They Buried

The county has paid $125,400 in premiums over eleven policy years for $2 million of cover that could not have answered the claim it was bought to answer.

Nobody hid any of this. The wording is a public record, the exclusion is on page 14, and the county sent us its entire insurance file four working days after we asked, unredacted, for nothing.

What Clause 7 says

Clause 7 is a total pollution exclusion. It is not exotic and it is not sinister: near-identical wording sits in the county's road, refuse and swimming-pool cover, because it is a market-standard form used by most of the industry.

It removes liability for loss arising out of "the discharge, dispersal, seepage, migration, release or escape of pollutants", and it attaches a schedule of thirty-one named substances. Entry 19 is silver iodide.

Twenty-two generators stand on ridgelines above the valley. Each burns a solution of silver iodide in acetone and releases the smoke into the air. That is the operation. There is nothing else in it.

So any claim against Haverly County arising from weather modification — a roof, a road, a season of too much snow or too little — is by construction a claim about a scheduled substance dispersed into the air.

We sent all eleven wordings to a coverage lawyer in Denver with the county's name removed and no account of what we were working on, and asked her one question: what would this policy pay for?

Figure What Haverly County spent on making it snow, and what it spent insuring itself against having made it snow
Generator contracts, eleven seasons$1,046,300 — four contracts, one operator, itemised by seasonLiability premiums over the same eleven years$125,400 — eleven payments, $10,900 rising to $12,600Endorsement that removed the exclusion, July 2026$2,900 — quoted in six days, bound in nineCover available for a silver-iodide claim, 2014–2025$0 — Clause 7, schedule of excluded substances, entry 19United States dollars, from the county warrant register and the broker's premium schedule. Eleven policy years, 1November 2014 to 31 October 2025.
The last bar is not an estimate and it is not our reading. It is the contract: a claim arising from the dispersal of silver iodide is excluded, and dispersing silver iodide is the whole of what the generators do. No claim has ever been made, so the bar has never been tested — which is why it took twelve years and one telephone call to find. They Buried, from the county's insurance file and warrant register, released on request

The note

The broker's placing file for the 2014 renewal runs to sixty-one pages. On page nine, in the margin of a coverage comparison, in pencil, in a hand the county identifies as its deputy clerk's:

confirm WM carve-back w/ underwriter

There is no further entry. No email, no file note, no diary date, nothing in the renewal report that followed six weeks later, and nothing in any of the ten renewal reports after that. Each year the programme was renewed on expiring terms, which is what expiring terms means.

Nine days

We put the exclusion to the county on 2 July. The county wrote to its broker on 6 July. The underwriter quoted on 12 July, and the endorsement was bound on 15 July for an additional premium of $2,900.

The county asked because we asked. We would rather that were not the sequence, and we are printing it because it is.

Eleven years of the question going unasked; nine days of it being answered.

The register

The policy was load-bearing. Haverly County's hazard register lists "third-party claim arising from precipitation enhancement" and gives exactly one mitigating control: liability insurance in place, $2m limit. Residual risk is scored low.

Curtis Nakamura-Beale, the county's risk manager, found the entry for us while we sat in his office, read it out, and then read the word "low" again.

The person who wrote the note

Ardith Lemoyne-Cobb was deputy county clerk for twenty-two years and retired in 2016. She is seventy-four. She spoke to us by telephone for eighteen minutes and does not remember writing the note, which after twelve years is what anyone would expect and not a failing.

She asked us to record that in 2014 the clerk's office had lost two of its six posts, and that the insurance renewal was being done alongside a primary election and the licensing calendar.

We name her because the file the county released names her, and because "a clerk" invites a reader to imagine somebody worse.

What this desk takes from it

Whether the generators do anything is genuinely hard. Our own reading of the trial evidence, and the effect sizes we keep in the vault at PX-1986, put the honest answer at real, small, and not measurable on one county in one season.

Whether the insurance worked was not hard. It was answerable in four working days, by anybody, for free, at any point in eleven years.

Sources & Method

We asked for the insurance file rather than the policy, which is the only reason this story exists: the contract is public and dull, and the broker's placing notes are where the decision is. We then sent all eleven wordings to a coverage lawyer with the county's name stripped out and no hint of what we were hoping she would say.

Who we spoke to

  1. Haverly County insurance file, 2014–2026, Eleven policy wordings, eleven renewal reports, the broker's placing file and the warrant register extracts. Requested in writing under the state open-records act; released entire, unredacted, in four working days at no charge May 2026 The placing file is where the pencil note is. It was not asked for separately; it arrived because we asked for the file rather than the policy.
  2. Sunniva Achterberg-Rhys, Insurance coverage lawyer, Denver; twenty-one years, both sides. Sent all eleven wordings with the county's name removed and no explanation of the assignment; asked one question in writing June 2026 Paid her standard hourly rate, $560, for four hours. Her four-page answer is published with this story.
  3. Curtis Nakamura-Beale, Risk and safety manager, Haverly County. Interviewed by telephone twice and then in his office, with the file open on the table between us July 2026 Found the hazard-register entry for us while we sat there, read it aloud, and said the word 'low' twice.
  4. Ardith Lemoyne-Cobb, Deputy county clerk, Haverly County, 1994–2016; wrote the 2014 note. Written to at her home address, then interviewed by telephone for eighteen minutes with her agreement July 2026 Does not remember writing the note. Asked us to print what the office was carrying that year, and we have.
  5. Halvard Quist-Menzies, Managing broker, Tessmann Wraye & Co., which has placed the programme since 2014. Sent the full draft, the file and eighteen days to answer July–August 2026 Corrects us on the 2014 market and is right to. Printed in full under Right of Reply.

Documents

  • PX-1986 — Effect sizes and confidence intervals from 31 randomised cloud-seeding trials, 1961–2024 accepted

What we could not confirm

  • Whether the endorsement now in force would actually pay. It removes silver iodide from the excluded schedule, but a claimant would still have to prove that a particular burn caused a particular loss, and this desk's own position is that nobody has ever done that for any seeding programme anywhere. The county may have replaced cover that could not respond with cover that cannot be triggered.
  • Whether Haverly is unusual. We read one county's policies. We wrote to fourteen other seeding counties in four states asking for their wordings; three answered by the deadline, two of the three carry the same schedule of excluded substances, and eleven have not replied. Two out of three is not a finding.
  • What Ardith Lemoyne-Cobb meant by 'carve-back'. We have four words in pencil, in a margin, next to a coverage comparison. She does not remember writing them and could not reasonably be expected to after twelve years. Every reading of that note in this story is ours, not hers.
Disclosure. This newspaper paid Sunniva Achterberg-Rhys $2,240 at her standard rate for an opinion commissioned before we knew what it would say, and published it whichever way it went. No payment was made to any other person named here. The county charged nothing for the file.

How Others Covered This

The same events, as reported elsewhere on the same day. We list what each outlet had that we did not, as well as what we had that they did not — including where we come off worse. Why we print this.

  1. The Meridian Telegraph
    THEY KNEW: The Clause That Proves Nobody Will Ever Pay For What Falls On You

    Read the exclusion as a deliberate shield drafted to protect the seeding industry from the public.

    Had that we did not

    The wording of Clause 7, quoted accurately and at length, which nobody else had bothered to print.

    Left out

    That the same exclusion sits in the county's road, refuse and swimming-pool cover, in identical words, because it is a market-standard form.

  2. Signal & Ledger
    Weather-Mod Carve-Backs: Eleven Carriers Now Write Them, Up From Two

    Took the county's gap as a market story and told brokers how to price the endorsement.

    Had that we did not

    The 2014-versus-2026 market comparison, which is better than ours and which we have used, with credit.

    Left out

    The county. The piece runs 1,900 words about the product and never says who bought eleven years of the wrong one.

  3. They Buriedthis newspaper
    The County Insured Itself Against Rainmaking. Clause 7 Excludes Rainmaking.

    Asked for the whole insurance file rather than the policy, and read the broker's placing notes as well as the contract.

    Had that we did not

    The full wording, the pencil note, the nine-day fix, and the price of the fix.

    Left out

    We put a retired clerk's four pencilled words at the centre of a headline about a million-dollar programme, then devoted one paragraph to the fact that her office had lost two of its six posts that year. The staffing is the story and we made it the footnote. — V. Ashcombe-Doyle, standards editor

Right of Reply

They Buried contacted Halvard Quist-Menzies, managing broker, Tessmann Wraye & Co. on 21 July 2026, in writing, with the full draft, the placing file page and the lawyer's opinion attached, and eighteen days to answer. Replied 8 August 2026. Printed in full and unedited, including the last paragraph.

I am not going to stand here and tell you the note should not have been actioned. It should have been. It was our file, it was our margin, it was our pencil, and the reason there is no follow-up entry is that nobody made one. That is ours and I have written to the county saying so.

What I object to is the arithmetic you have built on top of it.

You have found that a carve-back cost $2,900 in July 2026 and you have written the story as though $2,900 was sitting on the table for eleven years and nobody picked it up. It was not. In 2014 there were two carriers in this market who would look at a weather-modification exposure at all, and both of them wanted a hydrological survey, a claims-handling protocol and a named meteorologist on the operator's staff before they would quote. The quote we did obtain, informally, in that year, was for a $500,000 limit at just under $19,000, on a programme whose entire annual premium was $10,900. Today eleven carriers write it, they write it after a decade in which the class has produced almost no losses anywhere, and they write it for the price of a photocopier service contract. You are pricing 2014 with a 2026 rate sheet and calling the difference negligence.

Second. You have read a clause and you believe you have read a policy. Coverage is the whole contract, read against a particular claim, in a particular court, and in this class there has never been a particular claim. Your own lawyer says she cannot construct facts in which it responds; she also, if you print her whole opinion as you say you will, says at paragraph 14 that a court applying the reasonable-expectations doctrine to a policy sold to a county that the underwriter knew operated generators might well decline to enforce the exclusion. That paragraph is in your possession. It is not in your story.

Third, and this is the one I would ask your readers to sit with. Your own newspaper has spent fifteen years establishing, carefully and I think correctly, that nobody can demonstrate that any seeding operation caused any particular precipitation. If that is true — and you say it is true, in print, repeatedly — then no claim against this county was ever going to succeed, with the exclusion or without it. The exclusion cost nobody a dollar. It cost the county a feeling.

I accept that the feeling was on the hazard register, scored low, and being relied upon. That is the part of your story that lands, and it is not the part you put in the headline.

You have written a piece in which the antagonist is a dead to-do list. I have been in this trade thirty-one years and I can tell you that is most of what goes wrong, everywhere, in everything, and that it is a great deal less interesting than the version where somebody meant it.

Published unedited under our right-of-reply guarantee.

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