PX-2035
THIS NEWSPAPER'S OWN STUDY
INVENTED FOR A FICTIONAL NEWSPAPER
1,428 depicted catastrophes coded from 240 titles, 1990–1999
- Origin
- Commissioned by They Buried
- Dated
- February–June 2026
- Extent
- 204 pages
- Status
- accepted
- Redactions
- None.
Chain of custody
Two researchers, working blind to each other, coded every specific depicted catastrophe in 240 titles from one decade — place, mechanism, approximate date. The analysis plan was written by a statistician before coding began. Outcomes were checked only after all coding was complete.
Held by: They Buried; published in full
Excerpt
CODED EVENTS ................. 1,428 inter-coder agreement ...... 91% (9% flagged, not adjudicated) did not occur .............. 1,411 (98.8%) arguably occurred .......... 17 strict coding (place+mech) . 4 statistician's note: expected overlap on the stated model exceeds 4. 'You have slightly fewer coincidences than I would have guessed, which is the least publishable sentence in English.'
Transcribed by the data desk. Line breaks follow the original. Bracketed matter is ours.
Editor's note
The denominator has never been built before. It took two people five months and it is the only new thing in the story that cites it.
Cited in
- We Counted The Ones That Did Not Come True. There Were 1,411.Culture · Aug 10