One Trader Defaulted. Forty-One Firms Paid €114 Million In Nine Days.
We read 2,908 pages of default-management rules at six clearing houses and coded all seventy-one powers in them. Exactly one has ever been exercised. The four that reach furthest into a surviving member's money have never been used at all.
Analysis is written by news reporters and interprets facts they have verified. It is not opinion, and it takes no position on what should be done.
STOCKHOLM, Sweden — In fifty years, the powers that let a clearing house reach into a surviving member's money have been used once.
We read the default-management chapters of six clearing-house rulebooks end to end — 2,908 pages — and coded every power in them: what triggers it, whose money it reaches, and where the book says it stops.
Seventy-one powers. Six waterfalls. One use.
The use was Stockholm, in September 2018, and it cost the survivors €114 million.
What the book actually allows
A clearing house stands between every buyer and every seller. Once a trade is registered the two sides no longer face each other; they both face the house, which owes the winner and is owed by the loser. That is the whole service, and it works until a member cannot pay.
The rulebook then says who does pay, in order. The order is called the waterfall.
The first three steps are uncontroversial. The defaulter's margin. The defaulter's own contribution to the mutual fund. Then a slice of the clearing house's own capital.
Below that line the money stops being the defaulter's and starts being everybody else's, and four powers live there. A cash call on the survivors. The haircutting of gains — the house pays a member less than it owes him on a position that won. Forced allocation, which hands a member part of the defaulter's book whether he wants it or not. And at the bottom, partial tear-up: the cancellation of live contracts, including profitable ones, at a price the house sets.
Four of the six rulebooks number this article in the 800s. We have used 802 throughout because it is the number in the one book that has been tested.
Stockholm, 10 September 2018
Torbjörn Sahlgren-Vik was a member of Norrklar in his own name — one of nine individuals in Europe then cleared without a firm behind them. He had been a member for eleven years. He held a spread between Nordic and German power, and on 10 September the spread moved seventeen per cent the wrong way.
His margin was €138 million. It was gone by Tuesday afternoon. His own contribution to the fund, €7.1 million, went with it.
Then €7.4 million of Norrklar's own capital.
Then €114 million of the €166 million that the other forty-one members had paid in.
Rule 802(a) was invoked at nine in the morning on the Wednesday. Replenishment notices went out the same hour — €114 million, pro rata across the forty-one survivors, payable in five business days. Every member paid. The last wire landed nine calendar days after the first notice and one firm paid a day early.
Nothing below 802(a) was reached. No gains were haircut. Nothing was torn up.
The number that is not in the rulebook
Here is what we did not go looking for.
Norrklar's own €7.4 million stood in front of €166 million of its members'. Four and a half per cent.
No rule sets that figure. No regulator approves it. It is decided by a board, minuted in a sentence, disclosed in a table without a percentage beside it, and it has never once had to be explained to the members whose money sits directly underneath it.
We asked all six clearing houses how theirs is arrived at. Two gave us a number and the board minute behind it. One gave a range, which cannot be compared with a number. Three said it was a matter for the board.
Professor Nkiruka Aderinto-Falk, who checked our coding, thinks the ratio we have chosen is the wrong one and prefers a measure against annual clearing revenue. On her measure Norrklar looks better. We publish her working beside ours because we would rather print the objection than pick the flattering denominator.
The consultation nobody answered
In three of the six rulebooks the definition of an affected contract — which decides how much of a market a tear-up could reach — was widened by technical amendment. Twenty-eight days, thirty days, forty-two days. Each consultation drew no responses.
None from a member. None from a trade body. None from us, and we had read the book.
What we could not make frightening
The clause exists. It is real, it is enforceable, and a reader is entitled to be told it is there.
It has also been invoked once in the lifetime of the institution, it operated exactly as printed, on the schedule printed beside it, and the people it fell on paid in nine days and went back to work.
The thing worth being uneasy about is four and a half per cent, and it is not in the rulebook at all.
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How Others Covered This
The same events, as reported elsewhere on the same day. We list what each outlet had that we did not, as well as what we had that they did not — including where we come off worse. Why we print this.
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Signal & LedgerDefault Management: What The 800 Series Actually Requires Of Members
Laid the waterfall out for treasurers who have to fund a call, step by step, with the timetable and the pro-rata formula worked through.
Had that we did not
The sequencing, correctly and in more operational detail than we have managed, including the five-business-day payment window.
Left out
The €7.4 million. It appears in their table as a line called CCP contribution with no percentage beside it and no sentence about who chose it.
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The Hollow PostThe Clause That Lets Them Cancel Your Profits — And Nobody Voted For It
Read the tear-up limb as a standing threat to anybody holding a position, and framed the silence around it as deliberate.
Had that we did not
The text of 802(d), quoted accurately and at length. They are the only outlet that printed it in full and we took our copy from theirs.
Left out
The trigger, which sits three paragraphs above the text they quote and requires the fund to be exhausted first, and the fact that no clearing house has ever got within €52 million of using it.
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They Buriedthis newspaperOne Trader Defaulted. Forty-One Firms Paid €114 Million In Nine Days.
Coded every power in six rulebooks against its trigger and its ceiling, then went to the only default that ever tested one.
Had that we did not
All seventy-one powers, the full waterfall order for each of the six, and the amendment history we were not looking for.
Left out
Our own finding is the four and a half per cent, and it sits two-thirds of the way down a story headlined on the one week we could date. A first draft led on the tear-up clause and was pulled off the page by this desk, because the clause has never been used anywhere and we knew it. — V. Ashcombe-Doyle, standards editor
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